Analysis of election results

Updated on Nov 7.

The new PEC Council is comprised of 5 incumbents and 9 newcomers, to occupy the 14 seats on Council.   In the 2014 election,  the numbers were 7 and 9 for 16 seats.

Incumbents vs newcomers

  • Four incumbents decided to retire from municipal government: K. Gale, L.  Epstein, T. Hull and R. Quaiff.
  • Twelve incumbents ran again, and five were elected (41%).
  • Totalling retired and defeated incumbents, 11 of 16 incumbents will not continue on Council.  We thank them for their service.
  • Twenty-five newcomers ran for office, and nine were elected (36%).

Profile

  • The average age of Councillors is concentrated in the 45 to 64 age group (9 of 14).

Turnout

  • The number of voters was 10,032, an increase of 395 (4%) over 2014.
  • The turnout for the whole County was 43%, as compared with 44% in 2014.
  • For comparison, Belleville had a 43% turnout, and Quinte West 35%.
  • Ward with the highest turnout: Wellington 60%.
  • Lowest turnout: Ameliasburgh 38%.
  • Other wards: range 42% to 48%.

Method of voting

  • Polling place on Election Day (1 day): 64% (range by candidate from 48% to 71%)
  • Internet (10 days): 26% (range 10% to 39%)
  • Advance Poll (1 day): 11% (range 4% to 22%)

PEC 2018 All-Candidates Survey

  • Thirty-five of 37 candidates participated in the survey (95%).
  • Of the two candidates who declined to participate, neither was elected.
  • There were more than 4400 visits to the survey website, including almost 600 on Election Day.
  • In addition, the Wellington Times published responses to the nine issues questions over a three-week period prior to the election.

Endorsements by media organizations

  • The Wellington Times endorsed a slate of 13 candidates (excluding one acclamation), the only local media organization to do so.  Ten of the 13 were elected (77%).
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Introduction to the survey

Here is the third Prince Edward County All-Candidates Survey, sponsored and conducted by me (Gary Mooney) in collaboration with the Wellington Times. Comprised of 23 questions, it may well be the most comprehensive survey of candidates for municipal office anywhere in Ontario.

This year, 95% of candidates participated (35 of 37), as compared with 83% in 2014. We are grateful for this strong support. Two candidates declined to participate, despite my best efforts to change their minds.

The survey report is in two parts — profile and issues — published as six blog posts. The full profiles plus responses to the first three issues questions are being published on Sep 26, with the responses to the remaining issues questions on Oct 3 and 10, so check back on those dates.

Scroll down for the blog posts, or select from the menu on the right. N.B. Simplified nstructions for Internet voting follow the survey posts.

Fourteen questions that comprise a candidate profile, published here on Sep 26:

  • Profile A: Contact and biographical information.
  • Profile B. Employment and volunteer activities.
  • Profile C: Interests, ideas and personal appeal.

Nine questions on municipal issues / policies, published here and in the Wellington Times on the dates shown:

  • Issues Group A (Sep 26): Voting decisions, The changing County; Housing needs.
  • Issues Group B (Oct 3): Municipal taxes, Waterworks, Accommodation tax.
  • Issues Group C (Oct 10): Economic development; Road repairs; Volunteer support.

Note: Some important issues, such as healthcare and education, are not addressed as they are the responsibility of the provincial government, not the municipality.

Each of the six posts includes a link to a table showing responses for each candidate who participated. Comments are published as submitted, with no corrections of typos or spelling.

If you do not know the candidates, you can obtain sufficient information from this survey to make informed decisions on voting. You can compare answers from your ward’s candidates with those of all other candidates.

Important note: Issues questions and answer choices are, of necessity, somewhat simplistic. Candidates were offered the opportunity to add a comment to qualify / explain their answer choice, and did so 68% of the time. Any elector with questions or concerns about a candidate’s response to a particular issue should contact the candidate for a more detailed / nuanced answer.

Copyright. Media companies and others may publish excerpts from the tables, but not whole tables (except with written permission). Anyone may provide a link to this website.

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Profile A: Contact and biographical info

From the inf0rmation supplied by survey participants (35 of 37 candidates), the typical candidate is:

  • Running in the Ward where he/she lives (83%);
  • Not a current Councillor (66%);
  • A PEC resident for 20+ years (63%);
  • With no experience in elected office (57%);
  • Age 45 to 64 (49%); and
  • Self-employed (46%).

For contact and biographical information on each candidate, click PEC2018ACS Profile A

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Profile B: Employment and volunteer activities

There is a wide range of career occupations represented, including the following: engineering 3, farming 3, sales 3.

Sixty-nine percent of candidates are currently self-employed (46%) or retired (31%).

Regarding volunteer activities, the survey allowed entry of a maximum of three volunteer activities; the average reported is 2.1 activities per candidate.

For detailed information on candidates’ career employment, current employment status and volunteer group leadership, click PEC2018ACS Profile B.docx

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Profile C: Interests and personal appeal

Candidates were asked:

  • Question 12: To rank their personal interests in nine municipal responsibilities, as opposed to what should be Council priorities.  Note: Candidates had difficulty in focusing on interests instead of priorities and some said that all are equally important. See candidates comments on the two pages following their responses.
  • Question 13: To contribute their best idea for improving municipal government.
  • Question 14: To provide an “elevator pitch”: Why electors should vote for them.

Here is the average ranking from Question 12, municipal responsibilities: 1 is highest, 9 is lowest:

A. Affordable housing 3.1
B. Economic development / jobs 3.9
C. Financial management / budget 3.4
D. Heritage 7.5
E. Issues in my own ward 5.4
F. Official Plan / land use / zoning 6.6
G. Residents’ enquiries / problems 4.5
H. Roads and other infrastructure 4.7
I. Social services re kids / low income / disabled / seniors 6.1

For responses to these questions, plus comments following (total 4 pages), click PEC2018ACS Profile C.docx

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Issues Group A (pub. Sep 26):

Note: Check back on Oct 3 and Oct 10 for responses on Issues Group B and C.

Issues / policy questions were mandatory to answer.  In addition to choosing one of the short answers provided, each candidate had the opportunity to submit a clarifying / qualifying comment, and most did so.

Click PEC2018ACS Issues Group A.docx for candidates’ responses to the first set of three issues questions:

  • Voting approach;
  • The changing County;
  • Housing needs .
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Issues Group B (pub. Oct 3)

Click PEC2018ACS Issues Group B.docx for candidates’ responses to the second set of issues questions:

  • Municipal taxes;
  • Waterworks management;
  • Accommodation tax.
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